Timing
Definition
The timing of the dry season baseflow captures the date in which the high flows of the winter season have receded sufficiently into the low flow dry season period. This metric is measured in Julian days, where January 1st = 1 and December 31st = 365.
Steps
Assemble data into a water year matrix, and append each column of water year data with the first 30 days of the following water year. This is done for cases in which the dry season occurs later than September 31st, which is the end of the California water year. This is most common in snowmelt-sourced flow regimes.
Prepare the flow data for analysis by interpolating between blank values, smoothing the timeseries with a large-sigma Gaussian filter, and fitting a spline curve to the smoothed data.
From the smoothed data, identify the last major peak of the hydrograph. This is meant to represent the last significant flow event of the wet season, or the last "critical mass" of flow. A user-defined late-season threshold is set (default Julian Day 325), so that the last major season peak flow cannot occur beyond this peak. This is to ensure that the identified peak captures the true wet season, instead of an unseasonal storm flow in the summer period, which sometimes occurs in both storm- and snowmelt- driven streams.
Set a magnitude threshold, under which the start of summer can begin. The magnitude threshold is calculated as a relative magnitude above the minimum magnitude of the smoothed data. The relative magnitude is a relative value based on both the minimum and maximum smoothed flow values.
Search the flow data from left to right, starting at the last major peak of flow found in step 3. Check the flow in each date for the first date that fills the following requirements for the start date of the dry season:
The flow must be under the flow magnitude threshold set in step 4
The rate of change must be below a set threshold for the rate of change.
The first (leftmost) date that fulfills these requirements is set as the start date of the dry season.
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